Just Above Sunset
August 28, 2005 - Rearranging the Deck Chairs
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A bit of environmental
news: With gas prices continuing
to rise, the Bush administration on Tuesday proposed new rules to compel auto manufacturers to make pickup trucks, minivans
and some sport utility vehicles more fuel-efficient. Environmentalists said the plan would do little to wean the nation from
its dependence on foreign oil. So what good does this
do? If I could change one
thing about American foreign policy, what would it be? The answer is easy, but it's not something most of us think of as foreign
policy. I would adopt a serious national program geared toward energy efficiency and independence. Reducing our dependence
on oil would be the single greatest multiplier of American power in the world. I leave it to economists to sort out what expensive
oil does to America's growth and inflation prospects. What is less often noticed is how crippling this situation is for American
foreign policy. "Everything we're trying to do in the world is made much more difficult in the current environment of rising
oil prices," says Michael Mandelbaum, author of "The Ideas That Conquered the World." And he goes on to make
a convincing argument that our energy efficiency may be the key to getting out of any number of problems with terrorism, with
the difficulties with any number of pesky governments and all the rest - rising oil prices are helping to finance the terror
masters in Tehran, Saudi Arabia and so on. It's our demand for oil that gets us all messed up. Rising oil prices are
the result of many different forces coming together. We have little control over some of them, like China's growth rate. But
America remains the 800-pound gorilla of petroleum demand. In 2004, China consumed 6.5 million barrels of oil per day. The
United States consumed 20.4 million barrels, and demand is rising. That is because of strong growth, but also because American
cars - which guzzle the bulk of oil imports - are much less efficient than they used to be. This is the only area of the American
economy in which we have become less energy-efficient than we were 20 years ago, and we are the only industrialized country
to have slid backward in this way. There's one reason: SUVs. They made up 5 percent of the American fleet in 1990. They make
up almost 54 percent today. The man said fifty-four
percent. What? Well, a drive down any
street in America will bear that out. One school of thought
says that SUV buyers harbor a kind of outdoorsy fantasy. But I suspect that it's more basic than that: this is a vehicle that
can flourish in the most extreme environment imaginable. If it can ford streams and climb over boulders, just think how safe
and protected you'll be on the trip to Wal-Mart! Of course, the logic behind that argument is backward: the trip to Wal-Mart
is a good deal more hazardous than fording a stream in the wilderness, and we ought to be buying cars optimized for the conditions
we actually drive in. Maybe so, but you don't
tell people what they "ought" to buy. That just makes them angry. There's a television
commercial for an SUV in which a woman is driving the SUV and a rock rolls onto the road in front of her, and she swerves
around it at the last minute. That ad claims that SUVs are nimble, and suggests that the key variable in avoiding the rock
was the vehicle. That is an attempt, it seems to me, to play to the driver who lacks confidence in his or her skills. The
most dominant image in SUV commercials and ads is still the SUV mastering some off-road obstacle: fording streams, cutting
through snowbanks, racing across virgin wilderness. Obviously, almost no SUV driver is ever going to use his or her car in
those environments (in large part, of course, because racing across virgin wilderness in an SUV is, for the most part, illegal).
Another interesting thing about SUV advertisements, along these lines, is how rarely children appear in them. Keith Bradsher
makes this point in his book, High and Mighty. Minivans are advertised in family-centric ways. The SUV, on the other
hand, is supposed to allow the buyer to pretend that he or she doesn't have a family, that he or she is still a kind of rugged
loner without suburban entrapments. Of course Gladwell adds
that "the most important other issue" is the question of fashion: certain kinds of SUVs (like the Cadillac Escalade) are simply
considered cool, in the way that Corvettes were cool twenty-five years ago. If every car on the road
was a Mini, then the cost of an accident would be quite small: if you are in a Mini and you hit a Mini, you aren't going to
be that bad off. So, in the old days, the premium on active safety wasn't so large. On the other hand, if every car on the
road is an SUV, the cost of an accident grows substantially. When a Ford Explorer hits a Chevy TrailBlazer, both parties suffer
enormously. And, if a Ford Explorer hits a Mini, the Mini driver is a dead man. ... As a non-SUV owner, I simply cannot afford
to get into any accident at all these days. The irony here is that
my nephew's wife did get her Hummer, and I got a new Mini Cooper. Here they are side by side: She feels safe. And oddly enough, I do too - the Mini is nimble enough to get out of the way of most trouble. I don't think we can
easily cure people of their desire to feel safe - even if that desire does not correlate with actual safety. But what we can
do - and ought to do - is limit the damage that that obsession does to others. But Gladwell was only talking
about engineering changes. When Fareed Zakaria limiting the damage caused by our obsession with big SUV's he's talking about
something else entirely. Bulky four-by-fours could
be banned from clogging up the chic streets of Paris after a top official in the capital's left-wing government described
them as a polluting "caricature of a car" unsuited to city life. Click on the link and see
what Ric Erickson, editor of MetropoleParis, had to say about that! Some kind of move toward
greater energy efficiency is essential in the war on terror. But what I didn't realize is how the curse of the SUV is so damaging.
Fareed writes that 54 percent of today's U.S. fleet of cars are made up by these ugly, behemoth tanks that guzzle gas, and
make life miserable for everyone not in them. Probably not. Somehow
driving the largest possible SUV or truck has come to be seen as patriotic. "No Arabs are going change this guy's lifestyle."
That sort of thing. Makes no sense - the bad guys with the oil just get richer and richer, and less likely to do anything
we suggest - but that's the way it is. And shaming people about their latest hyper-expensive purchase? That never
works. T hey will just assume that you're a powerless loser, with a tiny penis, who envies them. How's this for an idea:
send me your best ideas for anti-SUV bumper stickers. One reader already suggested: "How Many Soldiers-Per-Gallon Does Your
SUV Get?" Another offering: "Osama Loves Your SUV." No. And the irony
here? The Hummer, below, proudly driven all over my nephew's wife, is what she drives while her husband, a Major in
the Army, spends his days in Baghdad, in the Green Zone, doing what he does, which I ought not mention here. Is she
making it harder for him, or keeping the kids safe on the road, or making a "no one changes my lifestyle" statement?
Who knows? Something Sullivan and
Fareed Zakaria don't mention is another little problem with more than half the drivers here in the SUV things. WASHINGTON - The rate of ice
melting in the Arctic is increasing and a panel of researchers says it sees no natural process that is likely to change that
trend. The link has satellite photos - before and after.
COMMENTARY: From
Ric Erickson, of MetropoleParis – comments on SUV's and Ann Coulter (she called New Yorkers cowards this week) from "Our Man in Paris"
- and I took the liberty of numbering them, as number three is amusing. Number
four refers to this from AFP -the driver of the death car was a French surgeon in his forties. Ric
also doesn't mention this on Marlene Dietrich's "new" film, and this on lost teddy bears. 24.08 - My Sweet SUV 1.
This is [below] just one of
many interesting deals I will be offered today. If I had bothered to count, I probably ignored $58.7 million-worth of deals
yesterday, not counting all the Chinese co-op, penny stock and monster dick offers. 2.
Just as obviously, I am waiting
patiently for the sneaky greed deal of a lifetime so that I may cash in on the war, which is all about oil, or money, which
is the same thing. Even though I walk everywhere, I can hardly wait until I have the biggest SUV of all. But before I get it I will need at least 2 million euros so I can buy a parking space. The trouble with
Paris is that cafés do not let you park SUVs on their terraces. It's a stupid rule, dreamed up by that greenie in the Hotel
de Ville, who rides a bicycle. 3.
The Hummer dealer here sells
a map for 50 euros. It lists all the streets that are too narrow for a Hummer to get through. There are 34 streets listed
on it. The other side of the map contains the addresses of the 8 parking garages where you can park a Hummer. There were 9
but a Hummer got stuck in one and it collapsed into the underground mines and the driver, a small woman, had to be rescued
by sewer workers. Her Hummer is still down there. 4.
French drivers are getting a
little annoyed with the rising gas prices, even though most of them drive tiny cars, or sub-cars, or lately, scooters. Drivers
take out their frustrations by racing on the streets. The other day an Opel driven by a maniac ploughed into a Mercedes making
a swift left turn, and booted it on to a café terrace, killing two immigrants from Bangladesh, one a little girl. Both drivers were arrested and charged with manslaughter. French TV-news said that pedestrian deaths in
Paris were only up by one percent this year, without saying how many had been bumped off. It's a public safety secret. 5.
Your President Bush is not in
any hurry to limit gas consumption. All the extra taxes collected because of
low-mileage SUVs combined with the rising prices, must be quite a windfall for the government.
If Americans want gas guzzlers, and they spend most of their time in them, who is the government to deny them their
simple desires? 6.
It hardly matters that global
reserves are being depleted at the same time as the Arctic ice cap is melting. The oil companies are doing their share these
days - a bit of shortage helps firm up the prices, and SUVs keep up the volume. It's just too bad that the army - it has Hummers
too! - is having so much trouble keeping the world safe for democracy and the oil companies. 7.
As for New Yorkers being 'surrender
monkeys,' many Parisians would be appalled with your Ann Coulter if they ever heard of her. They would say that she had a
poor upbringing, which is an oblique way of saying that her parents were morons. 8.
I must return to my email watch.
The deal of a lifetime may be coming in and I don't want to miss it. What's left of my lifetime isn't all that much, so any
deal might be good enough. I may just get a small SUV. Maybe one than runs on green bio-power, grown by French farmers next
door in sunny Essonne. While I think of it, I could park down there too. Here's Alexei's sweet deal that I'm passing up: Name:Alexei Zakharenko secured email: AlexZakha@netscape.net Dear friend I am Mr. Alexei Zakharenko a personal treasurer to Mikhail Khodorkovsky, the richest man in Russia and
owner of the following Companies: Chairman CEO: YUKOS OIL (Russian Largest Oil Company) Chairman CEO:Menatep SBP Bank (A well
reputable financial institution with its Branches all Over the world). SOURCE OF FUNDS: I have a profiling amount in an excess of US$100.5M, which I seek your Partnership in accommodating for me. You will
be rewarded with 10% of the total sum for your partnership. Can you be my partner on this? INTRODUCTION OF MY SELF: As a personal consultant to him, authority was handed over to me in transfer of money of
an American oil merchant for his last oil deal with my boss Mikhail Khodorkovsky. Already
the funds have left the shore of Russia to a European private Bank where the final crediting is expected to be carried out.
While I was on the process, My Boss
got arrested for his Involvement in politics by financing the leading and opposing political parties (the Union of Right Forces,
Led by Boris Nemtsov, and Yabloko, a liberal/social democratic party Led by Gregor Yavlinsky) which Poses a treat to President
Vladimir Putin Second Tenure as Russian president. … YOUR ROLE: All I need from you is to stand as the beneficiary of the above quoted sum and I will re-profile the funds
with your Name, which will enable The European bank transfer the sum to you. I have decided to use this Sum to relocate to
American Continent and never to be connected to any Of Mikhail Khodorkovsky Conglomerates. The transaction has to be concluded
soon and as I confirm your readinesses [sic] to conclude the transaction with me, I will provide you with the details. Thank
you very much. Regards Alexei Zakharenko (Mr.) YUKOS OIL … From Le Figaro, August
8 – Paris gets the H3 Hummer -
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This issue updated and published on...
Paris readers add nine hours....
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