Just Above Sunset
May 16, 2004 - Worst Case Scenarios for this week...
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If you bop over to SLATE.COM
you find this. Grim, but one of the better letters to the editor you’ll come across. In quoting Jeremiah: "Quomodo sedet sola civitas" [How doth the city sit solitary], he is drawing
an analogy between Florence and Jerusalem; the one city for the loss of Beatrice mirroring that other city for the death of
Christ, in the manner of Christ's seeing prophecies concerning himself in the Old Testament as fulfilled in the New. Dante is thus drawing Florence into the Emmaus paradigm twice over, the first time
obscurely, the second time with clarity. Or maybe he isn’t. Doesn’t matter. Gerlich here is
saying we’re all alone now, and things look bleak. The United States is losing in Iraq, just as it lost in Vietnam, and for the same reason: we long
ago put our faith in technology (and its administrative cousins, management and public relations) rather than in spirit. "Spirit" not as in metaphysics or religion, but in the sense of elan moral,
moral force or thrust, the temporary fusion of individual and group wills that lifts people to do great (and often terrible)
things. Yeah, well, what to do
about it is the question. … Mere substitution of a president cannot in itself supply the missing ingredients: a viable
objective, a plan based on knowledge and critical thinking, and the inspiration of citizens to adopt that plan as their own
and be willing to discipline themselves for the sake of it. With those,
indeed, a new leadership might be able to accomplish something. But the
president is just the most colorful clown on the stage. Yanking the old one and
putting a new in is not going to change the fact that it is still a clown show. Oh man, this guy is getting
me down! … Actually, the United States is one of the greatest causes of instability at present,
because of its abiding Cold War conviction that it has both the right and the ability to meddle anywhere around the globe. During the Cold War, this was somewhat constrained by our recognition that we could
not "contain communism" without building lasting alliances, which required us to behave in predictable ways and with the consent
of others. But now that we choose weak targets of opportunity, like the Taliban,
Saddam Hussein and North Korea (not to speak of anybody anywhere whom we label a "terrorist"), we dispense not only with meaningful
or lasting alliances, not only with international institutions, but even with international law. How a freelance global hegemon like that could be anything but destabilizing is hard to see. The end point of such a trajectory, if it is not cut short by internal decisions,
is the formation of an international alliance against us. Niall Ferguson
said in Slate just a week or two ago "that is now just a matter of time." And that all leads to what? The future is bleak for the United States. The reason
is not so much any external trend or adversary, as who, and what, we have become. September
11 called upon us to exact due vengeance, to protect ourselves, and above all to conduct a great national inquiry into who
we are and who we should try to be. It gave us a priceless opportunity to question
whether the habits and instincts built up over the preceding half-century were the best to serve us in the next half-century. It was a moment of our history that cried out for greatness. And we were found wanting. Whoa man, bummer. Leaving aside the question of military power, the necessary response to terrorism is not to limit
the power of the state but, rather, to bolster it, so as to preserve the basic order without which the defenseless citizen
has no prospect of enjoying the splendors of liberty. In the wake of Madrid,
in the wake of 9/11, in the wake of suicide bombings in Moscow subway stations and Jerusalem cafés, the state is impelled
to become even more intrusive and muscular than it already is. How well today's
leaders meet this obligation to construct more-vigilant states is very likely to stand as one of history's most important
criteria for assessing their stewardship. I see – we WANT George
Bush and John Ashcroft on Donald Rumsfeld to be just who they are, doing what they now do.
John Kerry doesn’t have a chance. … we are at the dawn of a popularly sanctioned movement toward greater authoritarianism
in the domain of what is now fashionably called "homeland security." As Thomas Hobbes explained in his mid-seventeenth-century
treatise Leviathan (a work that can be read as a primer on homeland security), there is no real contradiction
in the idea of authoritarianism as a choice. In a proverbial state of nature,
man willingly gives up some portion of his liberty to a sovereign as the only conceivable protector of his life and property. During times of relative quiet and prosperity it is easy to forget that this sort
of bargain exists—but in times of danger, woe to the sovereign that neglects its duty to protect. Yep, we’re scared
and Daddy George, even if imperfect, will keep us all warm and safe. Life in a Daddy State global order promises to be a somewhat mixed affair. Life will be best for majority groups in well-fortified but not overly heavy-handed Daddy States. As ever, life will be rough for anyone under the boot-heel of an unconstrained autocrat. But perhaps the most terrible fate awaits those trapped in the primeval chaos, without
any sort of state protection. That condition of extreme vulnerability is borne
by, for instance, Palestinians living in the Israeli-occupied West Bank and Gaza Strip.
And should state-building fail in Afghanistan and Iraq, their peoples, too, will inhabit this sort of limbo, in which,
as Hobbes memorably wrote, "there is no place for Industry ... no Arts; no
Letters; no Society; and which is worst of all, continuall feare, and danger of violent death; And the life of man, solitary,
poore, nasty, brutish, and short." To summarize, the state’s primary duty is
to keep its citizens safe. All else if fluff and nonsense – stuff that’s
nice to have, but now both irrelevant and dangerous. |
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This issue updated and published on...
Paris readers add nine hours....
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