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Last weekend in Our Turn: The Greatest American of All Time you would find a discussion of how the Discovery Channel and AOL are teaming up for seven hours of primetime silliness to
be telecast this summer. The idea is for us all to make our choice for “the
person who has most embodied the American dream, having the biggest impact on the way we think, work and live.” That would be, of course, The Greatest American of All Time. Six days after the initial post concerning this on my web log the contest seems to have gained the attention
of the big-time web logs – Kevin Drum of Political Animal here and Stephen Bainbridge of UCLA here - and a search on DayPop or Google will lead you to many more.
But there is no prize for being first.
Just know that the conversation that began here with Ric Erickson, editor of MetropoleParis, reporting on the French version of this BBC gimmick - Le plus grand Français de tous les temps - has bubbled up nationally
as we prepare for the American version in June.
Maybe CNN will do something
on it son, although there are some folks who work at CNN who are most unhappy with AOL – as when their parent company,
Time-Warner, was absorbed by AOL the resulting drop in all the stock employees owned was more than a bit painful. Rick, the News Guy in Atlanta, knows all about that. Maybe
CNN will take a pass on this.
Oh, and note that Kevin Drum of Political Animal points to the Canadian version
of the BBC contest - The Greatest Canadian of All Time. Last November those odd folks up north chose Tommy Douglas, the former Saskatchewan
premier, the man credited with being the founding father of Canada's health-care system, as The Greatest Canadian of All
Time. Go figure.
Anyway, this week’s national conversation
on the net, and maybe beyond, seems to be moving on. The new topic was shaping
up to be the idea of class.
No, it was not Tom DeLay
last week saying that the Democrats offered the country nothing - "No ideas. No leadership. No agenda. And, just in the last
week, we can now add to that list, no class."
Even if Rush Limbaugh got all excited by this stunning observation, that moment passed. And too, DeLay has a pretty low quotient of class
- however one might want to define it - to be saying such things, and I’m pretty sure Limbaugh is not an expert in such
matters.
No, we are now talking about class in another sense. Think class
warfare, or class mobility, or social caste - that sort of thing.
In last Sunday’s New York Times, which
may or may not be "the nation’s newspaper of record" depending on your point of view, Janny Scott and David Leonhardt
give us this - Class in America: Shadowy Lines That Still Divide (May 15) –
New research on mobility,
the movement of families up and down the economic ladder, shows there is far less of it than economists once thought and less
than most people believe. In fact, mobility, which once buoyed the working lives of Americans as it rose in the decades after
World War II, has lately flattened out or possibly even declined, many researchers say.
The incomes of brothers born
around 1960 have followed a more similar path than the incomes of brothers born in the late 1940's, researchers at the Chicago
Federal Reserve and the University of California, Berkeley, have found. Whatever children inherit from their parents —
habits, skills, genes, contacts, money — seems to matter more today.
Ah, choose your parents
very, very carefully.
Well, if this is so – and you can wade through the Times pages of tables and graphics
here for data showing this is so – then why does most of the heartland, or whatever we are now calling the fly-over part
of America, those on the lower side of the economy, persist in supporting the current folks in power, who cut taxes for the
rich and cut programs for those in the middle, and lower? This was discussed
in the pages here last month, and it is a mystery. Could it be this?
Conservatism As Pathology Are Bush supporters literally insane? Timothy Noah - Posted Monday, May 9, 2005, at 8:40 PM PT SLATE.COM
In the same issue of the New York Times the columnist David Brooks argues not at all!
The big difference between
poor Republicans and poor Democrats is that the former believe that individuals can make it on their own with hard work and
good character. According to the Pew study, 76 percent of poor Republicans believe most people can get ahead with hard work.
Only 14 percent of poor Democrats believe that.
Ah, so who is delusional?
Kevin Drum tries to sort it out –
Ever since World War
II, the United States has done a phenomenal job of sorting people by talent. Not a perfect job, but an astonishingly good
one nonetheless. All four of my grandparents, for example, would almost certainly have gone to college if they had turned
18 in the 1960s, but that just wasn't in the cards for any of them a century ago. Today, though, as a matter of deliberate
policy, the vast majority of people who have the talent to succeed in college get the chance to try. As a result, they moved
upward into the middle and upper classes decades ago, and their children have followed them.
But there's only a moderate
amount of sorting left to be done. Random chance, both in nature and nurture, will always play a role in life outcomes, but
that role has gotten smaller and smaller as the sorting has progressed. The result is that life roles have become more hardened.
While incomes of the well-off have skyrocketed over the past 30 years, working and middle class incomes have stagnated. At
the same time, the incomes — and jobs — they do have are far more unstable than they were a few decades ago. And
as recent research indicates, most of them are increasingly stuck in these grim circumstances: every decade, fewer and fewer
of them — and fewer and fewer of their children — have any realistic chance of moving up the income ladder.
In
the face of this, Brooksian paeans to the hardworking Republican poor are little less than appalling. Clap your hands and
you can be rich!
What this faux optimism masks is the astonishing real-life pessimism of modern conservatism. Among
advanced economies, the United States is by far the richest, youngest, and fastest growing country in the world. By far. And
yet, we're supposed to believe that an increase in Social Security costs from 4% of GDP to 6% over the next 50 years is cause
for panic. We're supposed to believe national healthcare would bankrupt us — never mind that our current dysfunctional
system is the most expensive and most unfair on the planet. We're supposed to believe that broader unionization would ruin
American industry, home of the highest profits and most highly paid executives in the world. We're supposed to believe that
the nation's millionaires, having already had their tax rates slashed by a third over the past two decades, are still being
bled to the bone by federal taxes.
It's a grim view. But then, modern conservatives are grim people, with little hope
that things can ever be made better than they are today. I guess that's why I'm a liberal.
Clap your hands and you
can be rich? Actually, I have heard variations on that theme from my conservative
friend. (By the way, if you click and pop up the Kevin Drum items you will see
he links to all the studies he cites).
Bottom line – cut taxes for the rich.
We’ll need those tax breaks next week when we make it big.
But it isn’t going to happen, or so
that data indicate.
Up at UC Berkeley, the economics professor Brad DeLong has some observations, but as he served
in the Clinton administration you may want to discount what he says. After all,
that administration ran budget surpluses and suffered from high employment and read GDP growth, so who ARE you going to trust
in this?
DeLong’s summary of the Times piece? - Janny Scott and David Leonhardt? They are, I believe, trying to make three points: (a) consumption
is more "middle class" than ever before, so that (b) it appears as though class is unimportant, but (c) in reality choosing
the right parents matters more than ever in America today…
Then the professor gives us some history –
This argument - that
rising standards of living as a whole are making it appear that class is unimportant while in fact class matters more than
ever - is an old one. It is one of the centerpieces of George Orwell's The Road to Wigan Pier. Orwell is distressed
by the consumption of "cheap " by the relatively poor. He thinks: The system is taking advantage of the relatively poor by
enabling them to consume commodities that they think are luxuries, but that in fact are not or are no longer so. It is conning
them.
In the middle of the Great Depression in Britain, Orwell expected that the economic catastrophe would bring
dismay, discontent, protest, and revolt. Yet it did not do so. Why? Orwell thought that even though "whole sections of the
working class... have been plundered of all they really need" by high unemployment, they had also been "compensated... by
cheap luxuries which mitigate the surface of life": fish and chips, artificial-silk stockings, tinned salmon, cut-price chocolates,
movies, radio, tea.
Note the words: "palliative," "mitigate," "surface." Orwell is in the final analysis not pleased
at all by the fact that:
… the youth... for two pounds ten on [installments]... can buy himself a suit which...
at a... distance looks... tailored on Saville Row. The girl can look like a fashion plate at an even lower price.... [I]n
your new clothes you can stand on the corner, indulging in a private daydream of yourself as Clark Gable or Greta Garbo."
For Orwell writing in the 1930s this pattern of cheap middle-class consumption masks the reality - that the working
class has lost relative income, relative wealth, and relative power. It makes tolerable what should not be tolerated: that
the upper class has much too large a share of the pie.
Cool. Orwell is fun – and we all like to be compensated by cheap luxuries which mitigate
the surface of life. This is the essence of Hollywood, where I live.
And
the professor also gives us this –
It may be a very big
mistake to think that human happiness is necessarily and significantly increased by piling up larger and larger heaps of material
goods. Richard Easterlin in his Growth Triumphant points to evidence from public-opinion surveys that suggests that
money does not buy happiness over time or across countries, and believes (though I think he is wrong) that people are no happier
in the U.S. today than they are in India today, or were in the U.S. a century ago. Happiness is attained when you achieve
your dreams and solve your problems. Material abundance helps you do so, but it also teaches you to dream bigger dreams and
pose yourself more complicated problems. Easterlin thus concludes that modern economic growth is a "hollow victory": the "triumph
of economic growth is not a triumph of humanity over material wants; rather, it is the triumph of material wants over humanity."
On the other hand, it may not be a very big mistake to think that human happiness consists in expanding our powers
and capabilities to accomplish things (not the least of which are maintaining our comfort and satisfying our curiosity), and
that wealth is a powerful tool to those ends. There is a standard American response to the claim that money doesn't buy happiness:
"Your money doesn't buy you happiness? Then send it all to me. It will help buy me mine."
Any wealthy readers who
wish to send me money, please contact me immediately.
In any event, you see this conversation - perhaps started by Thomas Frank with book "What's the Matter
with Kansas? How Conservatives Won the Heart of America" (see this last July for a discussion) through Tom Noah discussing pathological insanity to David Brooks discussing the optimism of
the Wal-Mart clerk in Topeka just knowing he (or she) with be filthy rich any day now and need some tax breaks – is
bubbling up again.
Ah, what would Jonathan Swift say about all this? Who
knows? But at Rutgers University in central New Jersey their noted Swift scholar,
Paul Fussell, produced what may be one of the better early discussions of these matters - Class: A Guide Through the American Status System - Summit Books; 1st edition (October 1, 1983) – ISBN: 0671449915 (reviews here)
Fussell, as I recall, wrote a lot about the Kennedy clan in this book. Who
knows what he would make of the Bush family, and of the delusional minimum-wage optimists in Topeka? He did once say - “I find nothing more depressing than optimism.” Yep. And I remember him from his 1965 The Rhetorical World of Augustan Humanism; Ethics and Imagery from Swift to Burke - but don’t we all?
In any event - heads up! This was to be the
topic of the week – then came the Newsweek story and Saddam in his underpants.
But it will return.
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